COVID-19 Simulation Summit – April 30, 2020

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The DAIA Foundation is organizing an online COVID-19 Simulation Summit on April 30th, 2020. Please enter your email address in the newsletter box below to receive an invite. The schedule for the event will be published soon. Attendance is free and open to both members and non-members of the DAIA Foundation.

An Online Meeting of the Minds Among Top Global Scientists

The COVID-19 Simulation Summit will be an online event, focused on the use of agent based simulation models for more effective simulation of COVID-19 spread and evaluation of COVID-19 policies.   The event will consist of live video talks, Q&A sessions, and panel discussions.

The event will gather together scientists with insight and experience in simulation modeling of complex systems (especially but not only agent based modeling) and complex systems dynamics; along with scientists and physicians with specific insight into COVID-19 and related epidemiological issues.  

The aim of the COVID-19 Simulation Summit is to gain understanding of 

  • What tools and approaches should be used to provide the most accurate possible models of COVID-19 and its spread and implications, both in the current phase and in future phases of disease propagation?
  • What assumptions should be made or questioned within COVID-19 simulation models?  
  • What assumptions have been left unquestioned in current models and need to be more thoroughly explored?
  • What data sources might best be leveraged in constructing models related to COVID-19?  
  • What data should we be gathering that we aren’t currently, and how may this be done in a way that respects personal privacy and data sovereignty?
  • What real-world test cases might best be used for initial exploration of  more accurate simulation models
Agent-based simulation of a scenario where the mobility after 10% of the population being infected is restricted and release the restrictions when more then 95% is safe. By Dr. Petronio Candido de Lima e Silva. Source.

Agent-Based Simulation

The epidemiological models of COVID-19 spreading dynamics that are driving current policy decisions are generally well thought out and carefully implemented, however they also tend to be highly simplistic relative to the complexity of the actual situation.    Among many other factors, they don’t generally factor in the impacts of various interventions and control policies, nor do they account for the different behavior patterns of different classes of people.

The agent based simulation paradigm allows a finer-grained sort of modeling, in which a region (or the world as a whole) is modeled as a specific geometry occupied by interacting autonomous agents with a diversity of specific behavior patterns.   An in-depth agent based simulation of COVID-19 spreading would allow better-grounded policy choices to be made regarding how to manage, control and cope with the pandemic.

An agent based simulation, like any other model, depends on the underlying assumptions used to structure it.    However, the agent based modeling paradigm provides a more flexible approach to evaluating the consequences of various assumptions, and thus exploring their validity.

COVID-19 agent based simulation coordinated with realistic geospatial modeling (work in progress at SingularityNET).    By Andres Suarez, SingularityNET Foundation.

Schedule

Speakers

The list of speakers and panelists for the COVID-19 Simulation Summit is not yet finalized, but will include diverse global experts from multiple relevant expertise areas; the current list includes

Dr. Yaneer Bar-Yam

President, New England Complex Systems Institute, physicist and pioneer in cross-disciplinary complex systems modeling and its implications for public policy

Dr. Robin Hanson

Economist at George Mason University and research associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University, global leader in application of rational economics analysis to social and futurist issues

Roger Ng, MD

Cardiologist and co-founder of medical informatics startup NthOpinion — currently working on the front lines as a physician treating COVID-19 patients.

Dr. Petronio Candido de Lima e Silva

Computer Science Professor at IFNMG, expert on theory and practice of simulation model development.

Dr. Ben Goertzel

SingularityNET Foundation and Chairman of OpenCog Foundation, with 30+ yrs of experience in Artificial General Intelligence and bioinformatics/AI.

Dr. Deborah Duong

SingularityNET Foundation, PhD from George Mason University on complex biological simulations.

Gina Smith, PhD

Based in Hong Kong, Gina Smith, PhD is the New York Times bestselling author of Apple cofounder Steve Wozniak’s biography, iWoz, and The Genomics Age, a 2008 Barron’s Book of the Year. A former ABC News correspondent and a longtime tech journalist, she holds a PhD in clinical psychology and currently works as a research analyst at International Data Corp.

Dr. Anish Mohammed

Anish is a multi disciplinarian who has worked as medical doctor, bioinformatician, strategy consultant and cryptographer. He has spend half his career researching cryptographic algorithms and protocols at three different research groups.He was an early adviser to Ripple, cofounder of Ethicsnet, advisor to Ocean Protocol and head of research at the Information Sciences Institute at SRH University of Applied Sciences

Vinay Gupta

Vinay Gupta was the release coordinator for the Ethereum blockchain, and is now CEO of Mattereum, a leading blockchain firm working on digital identities for a variety of physical asset classes. Prior to this, he was a worst case scenario planner and humanitarian innovator working on large scale contingencies including climate refugees (Hexayurt Project) and pandemics.

Dr. Mircea Davidescu

Mircea Davidescu is an enthusiast for data-driven business strategy targeted to marketing and customer behavior in the financial sector. Mircea completed his Ph.D in ecology at Princeton University, focusing on collective behavior. With experience in analytics consulting, data science, and marketing, Mircea currently leads big data innovation initiatives at Fair Square Financial, a fast-growing fintech startup. He is passionate about the use of data to understand customer behavior, and using next-generation technologies that can unlock the collective wisdom of crowds and societies.

Dr. Eva Lee

Eva Lee Professor and Director of the Center for Operations Research in Medicine and HealthCare at Georgia Institute of Technology, a center established through funds from the National Science Foundation and the Whitaker Foundation. She is a Distinguished Scholar in Health Systems, Health System Institute at Georgia Tech and Emory University School of Medicine. She previously served as the Senior Health Systems Engineer and Professor for the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. She has also served as Co-Director for ten years for the Center for Health Organization Transformation, an NSF Industry/University Cooperative Research Center.

Ray Ng, MD

Ray Ng, MD was born a polymath and entrepreneur: physician by day and avid technology geek, coder, and blockchain developer by night. MD with board certification and licensure in Canada and US.

Dr. Nabarun Dasgupta

As an epidemiologist, Dr. Nabarun Dasgupta’s mission is to tell true stories about health with numbers. His data lab at the Univeristy of North Carolina at Chapel Hill harnesses big data to study infectious diseases and medication side effects, including COVID-19 and opioids. Prior to joining UNC, he was the co-founder and Chief Science Officer of Epidemico, Inc. a public health informatics startup.

Register  

To stay up to date and receive an invite for the online COVID-19 Simulation Summit, please subscribe to our newsletter or fill in the form below. Joining the summit is free and available to all.

Decentralized AI Alliance (DAIA)

The COVID-19 Simulation Summit is organized by the Decentralized AI Alliance (DAIA), an industry organization led by Toufi Saliba and Ben Goertzel, gathering together 50+ companies and projects operating at the intersection of AI and blockchain.    

Together with Ocean Protocol and SingularityNET Foundation, DAIA has organized the COVIDathon hackathon, operating April-May 2020, bringing together developers around the world to leverage decentralized AI technology to help combat and cope with COVID-19 in various ways.   

Agent based simulation modeling of COVID-19 spread is one of the many ideas and projects recently under discussion among the COVIDathon developer community, which is what has prompted the organization of the COVID-19 Simulation Summit.